TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Metz vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c5,818$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.631,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No69c5,800$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.973767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c3,800$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.0952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes32c3,600$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1521729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No68c3,182$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c2,759$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.9662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c1,956$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c1,516$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No69c995.72$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.671566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde1…925dbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes34c483.77$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.584856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e96…d509backed No69c437$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No67c360$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes32c328.13$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes32c319.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.43938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes31c300.03$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No66c278.26$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.612540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes23c204.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.012240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb452…2658backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0d…f712backed Yes21c190.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a9…701abacked No69c190$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b3…ac50backed No69c176$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x034d…9a99backed No69c172$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0c85backed No69c158$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc881…6d1fbacked No69c158$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc348…78dfbacked No69c156$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c1…fbb6backed No69c148$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ae…e344backed No69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…cc74backed No69c142$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No80c141$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.673644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…018dbacked No69c137$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ac…2c33backed No69c128$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fea…2370backed No69c127$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406e…0d29backed No69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…83abbacked No69c124$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f5…91febacked No69c122$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…ed71backed No69c109$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293e…8e08backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No77c90$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.720232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes31c83.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8910838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes33c83.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…9192backed No77c79.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes23c76.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.598333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes20c75.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c74.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.861216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.323360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes32c71.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed No78c64.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes32c59.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.144148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No77c57.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.149535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x143f…3c63backed Yes32c56.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c48.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes31c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.959661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c44.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.141,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes33c38.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No67c38.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefb7…2806backed Yes33c36.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No67c30.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.823860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.618155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked No68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No68c29.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.392458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No68c28.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b7…3a01backed No69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbe…33e4backed No69c20.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed No68c19.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+78.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57ec…263abacked No69c18.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf589…2d92backed No69c16.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b2…d48bbacked No68c16.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.341353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed No69c15.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.