Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dbb14ec3199903e1c3c897f7fd9669b31cfd5efe7aab76d4c94e28cc06bb683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 71c | 17,504$12,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.38 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Grind Back | 30c | 9,058$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.62 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grind Back | 2c | 5,552$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Grind Back | 27c | 3,931$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.37 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Grind Back | 20c | 3,473$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Grind Back | 30c | 2,355$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 73c | 2,222$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.03 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Grind Back | 26c | 1,961$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.9 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Grind Back | 9c | 1,832$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed REKONIX | 72c | 1,750$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.86 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6834backed REKONIX | 69c | 1,746$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Grind Back | 29c | 1,593$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.07 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Grind Back | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked REKONIX | 72c | 1,422$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.52 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Grind Back | 32c | 1,412$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Grind Back | 24c | 1,348$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed REKONIX | 68c | 1,330$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.75 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 23c | 1,244$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Grind Back | 19c | 1,226$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Grind Back | 36c | 1,021$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX | 64c | 1,005$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Grind Back | 27c | 1,004$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Grind Back | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Grind Back | 23c | 999.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Grind Back | 27c | 949.55$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.57 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 33c | 862.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 71c | 851.96$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Grind Back | 28c | 842.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 60c | 827.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Grind Back | 3c | 805.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 67c | 792.13$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Grind Back | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 12c | 672.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed REKONIX | 67c | 660.09$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 72c | 645.5$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed REKONIX | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked REKONIX | 67c | 587.07$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Grind Back | 31c | 580.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Grind Back | 31c | 555.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed REKONIX | 69c | 548.43$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed REKONIX | 75c | 526.89$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 73c | 517.32$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed REKONIX | 66c | 499.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grind Back | 30c | 495$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grind Back | 29c | 427.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked REKONIX | 72c | 427.65$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back | 23c | 426.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed REKONIX | 73c | 425.42$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed REKONIX | 70c | 401.01$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Grind Back | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Grind Back | 25c | 398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Grind Back | 40c | 386.05$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked REKONIX | 67c | 351.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Grind Back | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Grind Back | 28c | 299$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grind Back | 29c | 283.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Grind Back | 30c | 256.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grind Back | 23c | 255.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Grind Back | 27c | 252.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Grind Back | 27c | 251.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Grind Back | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Grind Back | 30c | 248.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Grind Back | 12c | 248.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back | 30c | 244.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed REKONIX | 74c | 236.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Grind Back | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back | 15c | 221.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back | 13c | 220.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Grind Back | 30c | 208.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back | 15c | 202.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Grind Back | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Grind Back | 28c | 174.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Grind Back | 30c | 164.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Grind Back | 30c | 159.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grind Back | 13c | 156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 28c | 155.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed REKONIX | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed REKONIX | 70c | 138.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Grind Back | 17c | 128.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grind Back | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…7d30backed Grind Back | 11c | 125.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked REKONIX | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Grind Back | 30c | 124.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…92cebacked Grind Back | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Grind Back | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…290cbacked Grind Back | 31c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Grind Back | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Grind Back | 30c | 97.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Grind Back | 32c | 91.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back | 29c | 91.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Grind Back | 31c | 79.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked REKONIX | 73c | 68.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed REKONIX | 73c | 67.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7541backed Grind Back | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed REKONIX | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Grind Back | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed REKONIX | 72c | 63.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.