TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
REKONIXof REKONIX, Grind Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff34…694bbacked Grind Back32c3,011$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.1277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Grind Back30c2,335$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.6336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed REKONIX71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed REKONIX70c1,500$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44551364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9953758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Grind Back35c1,454$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3150353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX80c1,298$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.022,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked REKONIX65c1,270$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.0223736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…477dbacked REKONIX72c1,113$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.751931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back11c1,087$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed REKONIX71c1,018$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.162841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Grind Back29c1,017$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Grind Back28c1,007$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked REKONIX70c1,000$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0630844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Grind Back1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked REKONIX69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31033867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Grind Back8c998.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed REKONIX65c994.39$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9938142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Grind Back31c971.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back13c910$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.261,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked REKONIX70c899.27$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8114446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Grind Back35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed REKONIX67c854.97$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2447548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Grind Back32c833.14$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2746240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Grind Back25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Grind Back11c787.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.116539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Grind Back34c785.98$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6314750.3%74 W · 73 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Grind Back35c777.14$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.753455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Grind Back34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Grind Back30c744.71$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.185836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed REKONIX67c706$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed REKONIX68c667.33$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4518152.5%95 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Grind Back29c610$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.95639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Grind Back5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed REKONIX65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21021146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back13c586.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.661,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked REKONIX66c574.41$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.36448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Grind Back29c543.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4929243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked REKONIX66c540.39$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Grind Back33c533.84$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.371,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Grind Back32c529.34$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.188536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Grind Back35c502.02$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.442748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked REKONIX69c501.3$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.45949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Grind Back31c499.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9921045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked REKONIX65c481.54$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5417251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Grind Back32c468.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.022850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked REKONIX65c464.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0222438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed REKONIX65c438.33$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.87044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Grind Back30c435.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7112646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed REKONIX70c416.52$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.512835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked REKONIX70c408.34$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.522450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Grind Back11c400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.666947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Grind Back34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Grind Back22c390.83$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4158746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked REKONIX68c333.9$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8513850%69 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked REKONIX66c329.96$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1925851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Grind Back15c299.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Grind Back18c293.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1230146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked REKONIX69c292.19$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5124343.6%106 W · 137 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed REKONIX79c275.41$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked REKONIX67c268.38$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Grind Back15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd5…12a2backed REKONIX66c254.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc3…d089backed Grind Back13c253.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked REKONIX66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8540442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked REKONIX73c239.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7315069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Grind Back23c236.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8156945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24dc…25abbacked Grind Back30c220.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4554…8deebacked Grind Back30c220$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Grind Back12c218.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.213551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888d…290cbacked REKONIX65c211.26$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked REKONIX65c211$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9668345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Grind Back34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6815050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Grind Back15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Grind Back35c195.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.363534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf26e…cf82backed Grind Back33c192.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Grind Back17c178$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9210741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x885a…8bfdbacked REKONIX66c177.79$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked REKONIX69c167$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.828739.1%34 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed REKONIX69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.67349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Grind Back31c158.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Grind Back32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011949.6%59 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed REKONIX67c150.16$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.553951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed REKONIX65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.540844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Grind Back31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Grind Back13c149.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.978516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed REKONIX69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9523746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Grind Back35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-62.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Grind Back32c140.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfac2…f35fbacked REKONIX71c140.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Grind Back34c136.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5528145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Grind Back32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.68842%37 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Grind Back14c127.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8452046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6365…df4ebacked Grind Back31c123.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3322538.7%87 W · 138 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c09…a8d1backed Grind Back10c103.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.372123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Grind Back36c101.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6319458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2750…3134backed REKONIX72c101.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked REKONIX68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3226445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked REKONIX66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3466545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.