Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c083210e93265825b7543500ed09858006533f0d08b34e27473ea080a8e022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 58c | 33,934$19,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,186.03 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grind Back | 0c | 24,693$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Grind Back | 45c | 11,750$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.46 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Grind Back | 46c | 5,582$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Grind Back | 38c | 5,459$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.4 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Grind Back | 44c | 4,411$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.84 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed REKONIX | 56c | 3,500$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.15 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked REKONIX | 54c | 3,472$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.95 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grind Back | 42c | 3,000$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.03 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Grind Back | 32c | 2,689$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.43 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Grind Back | 32c | 2,634$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.04 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed REKONIX | 67c | 2,202$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.25 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 65c | 2,200$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Grind Back | 14c | 2,083$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Grind Back | 9c | 2,066$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Grind Back | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Grind Back | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked REKONIX | 64c | 1,750$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.58 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grind Back | 39c | 1,504$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.12 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed REKONIX | 77c | 1,480$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Grind Back | 47c | 1,474$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.25 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX | 72c | 1,450$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Grind Back | 2c | 1,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Grind Back | 41c | 1,175$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Grind Back | 45c | 1,175$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.75 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked REKONIX | 54c | 1,138$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.62 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Grind Back | 40c | 1,029$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.84 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Grind Back | 46c | 1,022$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.49 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Grind Back | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Grind Back | 47c | 959.58$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.64 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed REKONIX | 54c | 928.73$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed REKONIX | 67c | 915.38$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.73 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Grind Back | 2c | 912.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Grind Back | 45c | 826.08$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Grind Back | 12c | 824.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Grind Back | 35c | 803.3$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.64 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Grind Back | 17c | 756.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Grind Back | 46c | 652.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Grind Back | 37c | 629$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked REKONIX | 62c | 548.5$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed REKONIX | 72c | 533.33$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grind Back | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed REKONIX | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked REKONIX | 54c | 480$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Grind Back | 37c | 480$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Grind Back | 22c | 475.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Grind Back | 39c | 462.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grind Back | 29c | 437.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grind Back | 28c | 434.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grind Back | 22c | 420$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Grind Back | 49c | 413.39$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Grind Back | 29c | 397.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed REKONIX | 62c | 379.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grind Back | 44c | 349.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Grind Back | 42c | 344.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grind Back | 26c | 343.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Grind Back | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Grind Back | 42c | 315$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed Grind Back | 34c | 306.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked REKONIX | 60c | 266.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed REKONIX | 61c | 264.01$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed REKONIX | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Grind Back | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Grind Back | 23c | 242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked REKONIX | 73c | 240.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Grind Back | 45c | 234.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Grind Back | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grind Back | 39c | 216.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 66c | 210.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Grind Back | 47c | 208.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Grind Back | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Grind Back | 45c | 185.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed REKONIX | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REKONIX | 64c | 172.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed REKONIX | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed REKONIX | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 60c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Grind Back | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed REKONIX | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Grind Back | 45c | 146$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Grind Back | 45c | 146$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Grind Back | 31c | 139.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Grind Back | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3e…1288backed REKONIX | 63c | 130.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Grind Back | 39c | 130.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked REKONIX | 54c | 127$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked REKONIX | 63c | 125.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Grind Back | 37c | 125.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Grind Back | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Grind Back | 47c | 107.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed REKONIX | 71c | 106.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked REKONIX | 64c | 102$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Grind Back | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Grind Back | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked REKONIX | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Grind Back | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 58c | 92.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed REKONIX | 66c | 91.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.