TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5674…477d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.06
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$150.31
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$312.75
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.84
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$51.37
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.8
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$376.92
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
United States to score first vs. Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.33
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.1
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+324%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$185.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ARETE vs So:sweet (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked So:sweet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.