TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof GLYPH, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked GLYPH37c6,022$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.0623435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5b…b82bbacked OG71c4,907$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.621070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed OG62c3,085$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.691,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked OG53c2,809$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3098959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked OG62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed GLYPH16c2,389$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8325150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed OG63c1,790$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.42977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH33c1,750$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.522,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed GLYPH45c1,239$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.373627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed GLYPH52c1,081$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.044946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed OG54c1,023$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.431,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked GLYPH38c1,000$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7630844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GLYPH32c995.78$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0862841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed GLYPH43c800.03$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked GLYPH28c771.64$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1322240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5674…477dbacked GLYPH39c761.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed GLYPH37c716.4$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.693534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH37c713.02$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0667932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH19c597.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.161,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed OG63c564.08$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2229043.4%126 W · 164 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked GLYPH36c563$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6810540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed GLYPH40c531.97$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.395836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed GLYPH37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed OG65c462.26$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6841055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH37c411$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.421,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GLYPH33c383.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3187838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked GLYPH51c371.75$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18916139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed OG54c369.03$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked OG63c363.58$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed GLYPH20c347.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6516539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed OG69c338.56$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5443560.5%263 W · 172 L+43.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked OG62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5811154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed GLYPH35c315.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6720030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH44c304.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.941,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH45c299.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.91,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG61c297.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed GLYPH38c287.12$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed GLYPH41c279.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3940844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed GLYPH24c279.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0471142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed GLYPH38c266.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.278536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked GLYPH16c259.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.69344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH36c255.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fd…b08fbacked GLYPH16c254$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked GLYPH40c243.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4666545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed GLYPH38c240.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.595545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked OG75c233.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5515069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked OG63c223.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3967546.1%311 W · 364 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5480…b38cbacked GLYPH38c220$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.623135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked OG60c218.32$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0956545%254 W · 311 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked OG65c205.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6330146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked OG64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7314259.9%85 W · 57 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed GLYPH37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7452046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed GLYPH39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked OG72c172.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.411573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed OG60c171.86$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7480544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked OG61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.49842.9%42 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked OG63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.229047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed GLYPH28c159.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6551550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b02…e0babacked GLYPH39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.569552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed GLYPH15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510837%40 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed OG57c143.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8614643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked GLYPH30c140$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.330351.2%155 W · 148 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed OG67c137$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6758742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed OG66c136.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9992846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked GLYPH37c135.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0440242.3%170 W · 232 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked OG58c133.1$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.95949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GLYPH18c130.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked GLYPH29c127.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0417647.2%83 W · 93 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked OG64c121.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6725348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GLYPH39c121.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.731,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked GLYPH42c119.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48a…34e2backed GLYPH32c119.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked OG58c118.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7858346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed GLYPH26c113.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012132.2%39 W · 82 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed GLYPH42c110.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.868051.3%41 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked OG79c109.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.67964.6%51 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed GLYPH34c109.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5117737.9%67 W · 110 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OG67c106$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191,11336.2%403 W · 710 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed OG58c102$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5421769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed GLYPH15c101.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7421540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked OG78c100.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.754367.4%29 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed GLYPH16c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed GLYPH38c82.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5280244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed OG61c81.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.769352.7%49 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed OG65c79.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.117952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked GLYPH40c77.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9413435.8%48 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed OG65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9214868.9%102 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e2…07e8backed GLYPH16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124951%25 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed OG57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1811444.7%51 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked OG58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…ac1ebacked GLYPH24c66.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed GLYPH33c65.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.497659.2%45 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed GLYPH18c65.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.899954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed GLYPH41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed GLYPH38c60.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8415848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed OG65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dc…cd45backed OG68c57.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.358655.8%48 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefc7…e4d4backed GLYPH38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205048%24 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed GLYPH37c52.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1719643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.