Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8acc169be3e5b9546f92247f60d7581a34b0ccaa0f31bed01850ca7c20720ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof GLYPH, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed OG | 43c | 20,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.9 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 58c | 7,682$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.03 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GLYPH | 35c | 5,462$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.95 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 59c | 4,571$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.25 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed GLYPH | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed GLYPH | 23c | 2,181$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.13 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH | 43c | 2,049$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH | 53c | 2,034$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.11 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed GLYPH | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH | 53c | 1,831$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.72 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed OG | 35c | 1,546$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.01 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH | 57c | 1,440$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.15 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed OG | 53c | 1,399$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GLYPH | 42c | 1,392$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.54 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 42c | 1,294$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.21 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 41c | 1,267$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked OG | 77c | 1,084$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.47 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked GLYPH | 52c | 1,071$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.52 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH | 31c | 1,044$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.17 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked GLYPH | 44c | 1,035$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed GLYPH | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GLYPH | 47c | 962.98$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.94 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 48c | 857.72$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked GLYPH | 60c | 847.45$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.16 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked OG | 58c | 839.3$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.01 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked GLYPH | 51c | 819.29$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.84 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked GLYPH | 61c | 814.02$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed GLYPH | 63c | 755.69$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.4 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed GLYPH | 41c | 750$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed GLYPH | 53c | 722.12$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed GLYPH | 65c | 687.36$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked GLYPH | 65c | 667.69$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed GLYPH | 60c | 660.49$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed GLYPH | 65c | 657.36$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed GLYPH | 13c | 624.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GLYPH | 46c | 623.15$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.09 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed GLYPH | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 59c | 593.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.25 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked OG | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed GLYPH | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GLYPH | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked GLYPH | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.87 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked OG | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed OG | 50c | 460.91$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked GLYPH | 65c | 458.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked OG | 70c | 452.89$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked GLYPH | 65c | 440$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked OG | 64c | 434.57$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked GLYPH | 40c | 415$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 58c | 399.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH | 34c | 365.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed OG | 46c | 362.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked OG | 57c | 360$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 51c | 355.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed GLYPH | 55c | 352$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 29c | 341.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH | 40c | 338.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked GLYPH | 43c | 319.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed GLYPH | 63c | 314.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed GLYPH | 64c | 311.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked GLYPH | 45c | 303.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed GLYPH | 46c | 257.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed GLYPH | 63c | 257$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked GLYPH | 65c | 250.77$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed GLYPH | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed GLYPH | 17c | 241.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed GLYPH | 61c | 238.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed GLYPH | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked GLYPH | 45c | 224$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked GLYPH | 62c | 223.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed GLYPH | 63c | 207.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed OG | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked OG | 59c | 194.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GLYPH | 45c | 192.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked GLYPH | 44c | 177.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed GLYPH | 56c | 173.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed OG | 29c | 171.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GLYPH | 42c | 165.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked OG | 62c | 161.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed GLYPH | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked GLYPH | 54c | 153$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed GLYPH | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked OG | 60c | 149.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 51c | 149.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 49c | 148.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed GLYPH | 54c | 142.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed GLYPH | 25c | 137.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked OG | 64c | 135.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed GLYPH | 59c | 125.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked GLYPH | 55c | 123.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GLYPH | 26c | 119.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed GLYPH | 65c | 117.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed GLYPH | 62c | 103.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked OG | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed OG | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed OG | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed GLYPH | 63c | 97.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…a338backed GLYPH | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.