TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof GLYPH, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed OG53c48,874$25,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,910.431,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed GLYPH45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH48c7,065$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3961,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked GLYPH57c4,027$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3004647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH47c3,504$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.741,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GLYPH44c3,500$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.5280256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed GLYPH39c3,453$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.5331248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed OG61c3,120$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed OG56c3,072$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.2441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed OG69c2,803$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.930667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH48c2,156$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.792,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GLYPH44c2,000$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.271,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed GLYPH48c1,915$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.0257449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b1…1b71backed OG56c1,790$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.826741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked GLYPH36c1,591$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.3740534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed GLYPH42c1,553$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.8229243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed GLYPH61c1,534$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.9543067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked GLYPH45c1,500$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.522240.1%89 W · 133 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GLYPH44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.362841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked GLYPH45c1,500$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.530844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed GLYPH41c1,292$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5312740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GLYPH48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.271,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed GLYPH13c1,250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH28c1,200$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.496245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed OG56c1,200$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed GLYPH53c1,162$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.4745352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed GLYPH39c1,121$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.664946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH38c1,100$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked GLYPH53c1,091$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2132756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked GLYPH41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41019338.9%75 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed GLYPH48c958.17$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9228347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20a9…18a3backed GLYPH63c921.19$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.762948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed GLYPH45c875.44$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7517757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked GLYPH48c807.26$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GLYPH42c776.72$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8889238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed OG50c760$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed GLYPH38c758.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4135737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed GLYPH47c708.75$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6220030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked OG55c701.78$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8413647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed GLYPH1c693.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.326132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked GLYPH53c681.57$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed GLYPH44c680.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6441455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed GLYPH45c675.88$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.543951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed OG55c675.42$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6815150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH44c633.62$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.371,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed OG64c632.22$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8243344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked GLYPH45c620$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27931055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked GLYPH34c605.28$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6452649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed OG40c599.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36060251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed GLYPH7c558.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.73323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed OG48c557.05$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.351,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH51c529.43$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.532,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GLYPH25c525.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.354246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed GLYPH8c516.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7513742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GLYPH46c500.31$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0374549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed GLYPH45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22529550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked GLYPH45c485.55$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.561456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed GLYPH38c470$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.644351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed GLYPH54c468.14$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.831865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed GLYPH45c464.34$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9558356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked OG43c462.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1410637.7%40 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GLYPH40c451.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.931,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed GLYPH49c443.71$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21719458.8%114 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked GLYPH67c431.8$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked GLYPH45c426.63$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1529047.9%139 W · 151 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked OG75c423.68$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.391,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked GLYPH61c416.31$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3116553.3%88 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed OG54c408.12$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.513562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed GLYPH37c403.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.124226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GLYPH44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.561,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5480…b38cbacked GLYPH47c399.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.343135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed OG61c390.46$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5925150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed GLYPH39c389.84$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GLYPH35c379.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.941,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd0…08f6backed GLYPH53c370.94$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.576147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9805backed GLYPH54c368.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked GLYPH42c361$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0866545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed GLYPH40c346.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked GLYPH44c340.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed GLYPH52c331.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.526147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH40c325.05$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0277941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0452…843cbacked OG66c324.61$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.643253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked GLYPH49c317.31$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.569543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked OG50c301.21$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6756343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed GLYPH48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked GLYPH48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed OG61c280$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked OG45c275.69$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.798538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked GLYPH45c272.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7858746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GLYPH49c258.53$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.411,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked GLYPH45c242.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4811758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked GLYPH57c239.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.549644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed GLYPH42c233$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.974057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GLYPH45c228.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3356945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GLYPH34c228.02$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5589938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked GLYPH44c222.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5222450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed GLYPH49c218.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0610933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked GLYPH42c218$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8430146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed GLYPH49c205.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed GLYPH48c194.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0991553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.