Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b38ca4ebd2a720ec41590e3866e77d75de7f3504520ebb7cf06b04b2f4c79aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Team Nemesis, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 40,859$16,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,950.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 36,784$21,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,431.76 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 10,586$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.84 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 9,041$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 8,597$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.99 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 8,582$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.24 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 7,443$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,736.19 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Amaru Gaming | 39c | 5,478$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.42 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 4,857$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.74 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 3,552$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.16 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…df98backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 3,050$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 2,600$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.98 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 2,317$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.9 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 2,113$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.03 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amaru Gaming | 37c | 2,061$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 2,000$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.39 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 1,773$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Amaru Gaming | 36c | 1,643$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.31 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 1,523$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.24 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,520$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Amaru Gaming | 62c | 1,502$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.45 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 1,452$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.16 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 1,441$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 1,323$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.12 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 1,254$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.24 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 1,215$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.55 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,198$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.34 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,185$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.86 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 1,127$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.12 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,110$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 1,100$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.6 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 975.9$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.74 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Amaru Gaming | 64c | 972.71$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.71 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 961.74$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.24 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 956$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.22 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 948.38$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.97 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 901.52$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.68 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 891.16$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.85 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 859.78$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 827.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 774.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 774.67$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.96 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Amaru Gaming | 36c | 767.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.02 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Amaru Gaming | 46c | 744.42$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.55 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Amaru Gaming | 60c | 704.05$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…477dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 701.69$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 657.82$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 595.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Amaru Gaming | 32c | 567.62$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.26 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 559$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.63 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 549.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 543.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 529$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.76 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 510.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 503.89$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.32 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 501.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.15 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Amaru Gaming | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 490.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Amaru Gaming | 34c | 487.83$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.13 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 475.12$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.39 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 469.54$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 465.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.47 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 465$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 451.88$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Amaru Gaming | 35c | 414.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 402$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 398.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.85 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 396.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 393.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 370.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 352.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Amaru Gaming | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 340.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 330.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 315.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Amaru Gaming | 52c | 314$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 271.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Amaru Gaming | 32c | 261.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…eedbbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 260.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 259.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 256.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 252.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Amaru Gaming | 46c | 250.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 242.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 241.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 238.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 221.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 220.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 218.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Amaru Gaming | 71c | 212.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 209.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.