Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee615c18c9a0ee970888891318800d5aab84903fd578ce1b127ce3b26174874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Team Nemesis, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed Team Nemesis | 0c | 30,820$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 14,755$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 4,295$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.71 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 4,103$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 3,392$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 3,370$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.75 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 2,500$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.64 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amaru Gaming | 39c | 1,593$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 1,458$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.05 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 1,326$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 1,010$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.18 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 952.54$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.54 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 892.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.75 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 888.03$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.71 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 884.8$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.57 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Amaru Gaming | 60c | 877.71$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Amaru Gaming | 44c | 862.5$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 766$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.75 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 749.98$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Amaru Gaming | 36c | 740$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.2 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 629.81$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 602.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.59 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 595.29$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…e1c7backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 568.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 550.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 529.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.1 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 525.93$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.02 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 403.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 401.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Amaru Gaming | 42c | 399.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Amaru Gaming | 53c | 388$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 350$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Amaru Gaming | 63c | 345.63$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 326.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 322.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 310.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 302.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Amaru Gaming | 36c | 280.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 267.88$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 251.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 236.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.86 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Amaru Gaming | 48c | 230.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 55c | 227.76$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 225.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 222.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 219.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…f5dabacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 213.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 185.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Amaru Gaming | 62c | 185.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…9fcdbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 171.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 171.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 170.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Amaru Gaming | 39c | 164.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…2441backed Amaru Gaming | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 154.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…77e3backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 144.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 141$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Amaru Gaming | 54c | 129.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Amaru Gaming | 60c | 119.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 118.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amaru Gaming | 48c | 111.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 109.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 103.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…eebcbacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 100.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb41…2f4bbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…0da2backed Amaru Gaming | 74c | 92.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 91.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590d…28f3backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 76.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Amaru Gaming | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 74.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…bb65backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Amaru Gaming | 47c | 63.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Amaru Gaming | 63c | 63.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 62.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 60.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 58.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 57.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Amaru Gaming | 34c | 57.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…25ffbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 54.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 50.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Amaru Gaming | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Amaru Gaming | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 49.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 46.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsAmaru Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.