Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a5eb5962675bb5dd9a3733e1d68e3dd5c49128b0664725f355f042e85930fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Amaru Gaming | 0c | 11,092$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 2,276$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.19 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 1,914$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.4 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 1,749$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.89 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 1,400$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.98 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 1,233$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.38 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 1,165$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.81 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 1,080$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,005$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Amaru Gaming | 2c | 925.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Amaru Gaming | 43c | 819.97$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.59 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 818$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.08 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 750.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…2441backed Amaru Gaming | 47c | 669.87$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…e1c7backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 617.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 598.38$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Amaru Gaming | 47c | 579.94$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Amaru Gaming | 62c | 536.58$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.19 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 530.35$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 468.77$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Amaru Gaming | 9c | 460.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Amaru Gaming | 46c | 422.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 409.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 356.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 277.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 268.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 260.11$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 252.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 231.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 231.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Amaru Gaming | 44c | 226.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 218.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 217.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 199.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 184.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 183.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 177.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 176.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 174.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 172.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 161.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 158.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 156.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…77e3backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 156.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 151.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Amaru Gaming | 13c | 151.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 145$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 143.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 135.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…9dc1backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 133.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 133.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 125.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 122.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 119.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…eebcbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 112.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 97.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 93.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 88.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Amaru Gaming | 32c | 83.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 79.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 69.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 67.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 64.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Amaru Gaming | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 61.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Amaru Gaming | 25c | 60.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 57.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Amaru Gaming | 47c | 51.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Amaru Gaming | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 48.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…9d5cbacked Amaru Gaming | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 40.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Amaru Gaming | 45c | 40.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 37.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…f3efbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 34.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…9cd3backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 31.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 25.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsAmaru Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.