TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8113…22cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.85
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.07
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$841.81
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.39
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.53
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.53
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.45
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$98.17
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Austria (-3.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.87
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$31.18
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$106.67
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$71.71
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Brescia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78%+$29.6
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+77%+$34.67
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$29.78
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Elena Micicbacked Elena Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Remy Bertolabacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Dublin: Titouan Droguet vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Martyna Kubkabacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+225.9%+$29.88
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yanevabacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.95
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$79.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.