Tennis · resolved market
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2d968e87bb426fffd95192726ccc57d93aab1f1ad29b1526ee580caf0be6a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Svitolinaof Elina Svitolina, Eva Lys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Eva Lys | 16c | 43,316$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.51 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Eva Lys | 7c | 17,582$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.71 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Eva Lys | 7c | 6,808$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Lys | 12c | 3,226$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Eva Lys | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Eva Lys | 5c | 2,418$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Eva Lys | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Eva Lys | 11c | 1,941$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Eva Lys | 16c | 1,759$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Eva Lys | 7c | 1,374$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Eva Lys | 20c | 1,024$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eva Lys | 19c | 1,024$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Eva Lys | 18c | 1,007$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eva Lys | 17c | 1,002$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…b7f4backed Eva Lys | 1c | 926.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Eva Lys | 17c | 840.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Eva Lys | 18c | 771$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Eva Lys | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Eva Lys | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Eva Lys | 18c | 599.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Eva Lys | 10c | 557.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eva Lys | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Eva Lys | 18c | 515.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Eva Lys | 16c | 476.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Eva Lys | 6c | 422.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Eva Lys | 8c | 413.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Eva Lys | 17c | 376.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Eva Lys | 18c | 330$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Eva Lys | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Eva Lys | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Eva Lys | 18c | 218$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Eva Lys | 17c | 205.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Eva Lys | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Eva Lys | 9c | 192$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Eva Lys | 18c | 186.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Eva Lys | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Eva Lys | 12c | 172.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…239fbacked Eva Lys | 16c | 168.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Eva Lys | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…4736backed Eva Lys | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Eva Lys | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…255fbacked Eva Lys | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Eva Lys | 19c | 156.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Eva Lys | 19c | 154.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eva Lys | 13c | 144.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Eva Lys | 17c | 142.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Eva Lys | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Eva Lys | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Eva Lys | 13c | 112.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…9664backed Eva Lys | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Eva Lys | 18c | 100.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Eva Lys | 14c | 97.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Eva Lys | 19c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…642fbacked Eva Lys | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Eva Lys | 13c | 77.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…22cbbacked Eva Lys | 14c | 77.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Elina Svitolina | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Eva Lys | 20c | 52.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Elina Svitolina | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Eva Lysthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs LysSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Lys (+1.5)Svitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.