Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Lys (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777ce02f7086a11822e1df71993a6c5c323ab97e6da0288c0b6d3a5e48dd5017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Lys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Svitolina | 62c | 15,424$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,923.59 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lys | 38c | 10,707$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.59 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Lys | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Svitolina | 77c | 3,000$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Svitolina | 60c | 2,344$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.37 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lys | 23c | 2,300$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Lys | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Lys | 39c | 999.98$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Svitolina | 61c | 710.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Lys | 39c | 643.17$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lys | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lys | 40c | 516.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lys | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lys | 40c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Svitolina | 60c | 349.4$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lys | 41c | 217.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Lys | 39c | 200.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Svitolina | 55c | 199.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Svitolina | 60c | 194$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Lys | 36c | 185.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Lys | 41c | 182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked Svitolina | 59c | 168.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Lys | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Svitolina | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lys | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lys | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Svitolina | 59c | 76.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Lys | 40c | 51.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Lys | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Lys | 41c | 46.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Svitolina | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lys | 41c | 35.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Svitolina | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9b9bbacked Svitolina | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lys | 41c | 27.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…e1a3backed Svitolina | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…1a9ebacked Svitolina | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Lys (+1.5)this page
- Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Eva LysElina Svitolina won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs LysSvitolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.