TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8961…64ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
663
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT24255.8%135 W · 107 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.27
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$106.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$52.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$41.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$68.16
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$46.02
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$23.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$33.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Raccoons (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Raccoons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$38.06
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT12753.5%68 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.23
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.09
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$17.4
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.72
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Winston-Salem Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanchbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.59
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Coco Gauff vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$21.36
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+57%+$57.01
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+50%+$28.83
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.52
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.93
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$24.92
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11358.4%66 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$49.82
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$23.82
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$22.22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$192.19
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$16.18
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$32.78
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8755.2%48 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$34.86
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$21.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.29
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$44.14
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$32.82
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$28.45
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$23.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85%+$59.53
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$60.54
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$59.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$11.38
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$14.26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$11.68
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Xipto Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$13.93
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$21.91
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$30.93
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$89.16
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$76.33
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$12.98
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+59%+$35.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$46.39
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$124.16
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$60.35
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+109%+$16.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nursulton Ruziboev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$23.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.