Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f9955734ac17620ad355f94f4e9fe187fb44efde039e6209ae9370392e88af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Fnatic | 44c | 26,717$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,976.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked GIANTX | 56c | 25,000$13,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,992.78 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed GIANTX | 56c | 10,623$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.32 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…3cd9backed Fnatic | 44c | 8,842$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed GIANTX | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Fnatic | 44c | 1,940$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked GIANTX | 57c | 1,600$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.99 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed GIANTX | 55c | 1,116$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.97 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed GIANTX | 56c | 1,062$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.08 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Fnatic | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 43c | 998.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.42 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…b842backed Fnatic | 44c | 915.91$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…17a8backed Fnatic | 43c | 832.35$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Fnatic | 45c | 721.62$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Fnatic | 43c | 486.17$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.11 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fnatic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Fnatic | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Fnatic | 43c | 449.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked GIANTX | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fnatic | 43c | 384.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked GIANTX | 57c | 320.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Fnatic | 43c | 286.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…ead1backed Fnatic | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Fnatic | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX | 56c | 212.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Fnatic | 50c | 179.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed GIANTX | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed GIANTX | 60c | 157.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed GIANTX | 56c | 142$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Fnatic | 44c | 135.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked GIANTX | 56c | 118$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Fnatic | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed GIANTX | 57c | 103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Fnatic | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed GIANTX | 57c | 91.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Fnatic | 54c | 91.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fnatic | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed GIANTX | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked GIANTX | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked GIANTX | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed GIANTX | 51c | 88.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked GIANTX | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed GIANTX | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked GIANTX | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fnatic | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Fnatic | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…ed7abacked GIANTX | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.9wins | -0.42per pick | 50cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed GIANTX | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked GIANTX | 57c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed GIANTX | 57c | 61.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Fnatic | 44c | 59.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked GIANTX | 57c | 51.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Fnatic | 44c | 50.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Fnatic | 60c | 48.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Fnatic | 49c | 40.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed GIANTX | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked GIANTX | 55c | 36.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked GIANTX | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed GIANTX | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed GIANTX | 56c | 33.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Fnatic | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GIANTX | 46c | 32.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fnatic | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…67b5backed GIANTX | 57c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed GIANTX | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed GIANTX | 57c | 18.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsFnatic won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.