Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadad4e13f5aa5594657e7eca7922f4036074c198b5274f7988d7fa7e5aba41ac

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fnaticof GIANTX, Fnatic
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,098 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3fcc…9f91backed GIANTX	9c	2,909$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.17	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fnatic	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.99	320	47.8%153 W · 167 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed GIANTX	32c	1,999$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.68	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX	17c	1,429$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.36	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX	37c	1,421$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.74	396	46%182 W · 214 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked Fnatic	62c	1,352$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fnatic	63c	1,243$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.97	264	47.3%125 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…d335backed Fnatic	67c	1,204$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.88	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+78.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked GIANTX	37c	1,160$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.91	351	42.5%149 W · 202 L	-14.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed GIANTX	33c	1,017$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.71	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GIANTX	31c	980.52$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.08	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic	68c	782.74$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.48	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed GIANTX	12c	751.38$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.69	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic	69c	717.21$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.7	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked GIANTX	34c	699.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Fnatic	66c	648.24$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.6	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed GIANTX	16c	599.19$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.39	187	35.3%66 W · 121 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed GIANTX	37c	574.86$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.39	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed GIANTX	37c	500.54$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.2	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GIANTX	29c	496$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.71	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed GIANTX	8c	420$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fnatic	74c	409.33$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.14	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3467…a440backed Fnatic	66c	353.39$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic	66c	342.35$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.09	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Fnatic	63c	339.73$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.01	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX	34c	337$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.63	281	43.4%122 W · 159 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Fnatic	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX	13c	280$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	321	41.7%134 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic	79c	278.54$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.08	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed GIANTX	37c	273.97$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.37	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed GIANTX	38c	197.37$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	173	32.4%56 W · 117 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Fnatic	65c	180$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX	38c	176.41$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fnatic	79c	146.61$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed GIANTX	12c	141.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked GIANTX	36c	139.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.3	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Fnatic	64c	137.01$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GIANTX	35c	133.23$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.07	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c4…8930backed Fnatic	76c	131.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.78	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked GIANTX	37c	120$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	224	40.2%90 W · 134 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Fnatic	67c	118.75$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.38	333	46.5%155 W · 178 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed GIANTX	43c	110.35$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.97	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ba…7721backed GIANTX	37c	107.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic	63c	99.99$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.95	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…e587backed GIANTX	38c	95.13$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked GIANTX	34c	80$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	339	47.8%162 W · 177 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed GIANTX	16c	77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e74…1823backed Fnatic	66c	68.48$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed GIANTX	37c	67.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Fnatic	64c	64.06$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed GIANTX	27c	63.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked GIANTX	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fnatic	64c	59.38$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.38	349	54.7%191 W · 158 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Fnatic	64c	54.69$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.69	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed GIANTX	31c	46.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ca…b8bebacked GIANTX	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic	63c	31.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Fnatic	64c	31.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.48	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-7.2wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed GIANTX	37c	31.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked GIANTX	38c	30.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Fnatic won
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsFnatic won
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event