Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae7ec6099d286dd032bf09292da4ce9d57dbec812e393210e19d02248877794c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof GIANTX, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86df…d902backed GIANTX | 29c | 1,050$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GIANTX | 31c | 945.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Fnatic | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed GIANTX | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…d800backed GIANTX | 30c | 486.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked GIANTX | 35c | 454.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Fnatic | 78c | 435.14$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX | 9c | 423.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fnatic | 72c | 394.81$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fnatic | 80c | 387.73$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed GIANTX | 34c | 374.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed GIANTX | 28c | 342.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX | 17c | 317.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Fnatic | 75c | 293.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic | 74c | 291.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic | 72c | 278.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed GIANTX | 9c | 278.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fnatic | 78c | 257.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed GIANTX | 35c | 255.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fnatic | 56c | 240.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Fnatic | 70c | 240.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed GIANTX | 15c | 237.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked GIANTX | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fnatic | 59c | 219.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Fnatic | 63c | 216.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX | 34c | 210.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fnatic | 68c | 205.81$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Fnatic | 69c | 193.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 66c | 185.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fnatic | 71c | 176.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked GIANTX | 31c | 170.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Fnatic | 68c | 163.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Fnatic | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed GIANTX | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GIANTX | 32c | 110.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fnatic | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fnatic | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed GIANTX | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed GIANTX | 36c | 83.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…1823backed GIANTX | 36c | 83.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Fnatic | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Fnatic | 75c | 80.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Fnatic | 78c | 71.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Fnatic | 66c | 67.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed GIANTX | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked GIANTX | 31c | 46.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fnatic | 79c | 45.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…eea0backed GIANTX | 28c | 43.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Fnatic | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX | 40c | 40.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed GIANTX | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed GIANTX | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked GIANTX | 39c | 28.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Fnatic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Fnatic | 79c | 22.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Fnatic | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 77c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Fnatic | 75c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Fnatic | 72c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Fnatic | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsFnatic won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.