TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof GIANTX, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX30c14,124$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.7328143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic71c10,000$7,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.8152155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed GIANTX17c7,600$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.4932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed GIANTX13c5,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked GIANTX36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed GIANTX9c4,693$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed Fnatic69c4,616$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked GIANTX13c4,060$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1635142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX14c4,045$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.150944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked GIANTX30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9926738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked GIANTX28c3,856$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.7417948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Fnatic70c3,805$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.8163955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Fnatic72c3,222$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.462556%14 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed GIANTX29c2,938$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8526643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7876…a162backed Fnatic69c2,857$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fnatic70c2,605$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.4419046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed GIANTX15c2,000$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8619439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Fnatic64c1,986$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.941353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX24c1,901$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115a…a690backed Fnatic71c1,826$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked GIANTX31c1,610$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.19737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Fnatic72c1,506$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GIANTX28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Fnatic71c1,309$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.671250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed GIANTX30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Fnatic72c1,221$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.851931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Fnatic80c1,217$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3713355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Fnatic70c1,182$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.618357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GIANTX28c1,178$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Fnatic71c1,101$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.295356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fnatic64c1,076$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.51,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Fnatic71c1,054$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9915358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked Fnatic70c1,049$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked GIANTX28c1,011$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.924650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad5…a084backed Fnatic72c988.99$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Fnatic71c943.33$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Fnatic64c937.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.57456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked GIANTX32c934.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Fnatic66c743.79$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.695048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Fnatic69c699.97$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9911354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked GIANTX29c697.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Fnatic72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GIANTX20c677.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.881,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…7e97backed Fnatic71c674.99$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed GIANTX2c654.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.045444.4%24 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Fnatic69c598.98$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.685952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked GIANTX30c593.17$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.955653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Fnatic68c590$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.85052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GIANTX11c576$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6999846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fnatic75c567.21$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed GIANTX31c548.03$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed Fnatic70c465.86$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.761060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked GIANTX27c442.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.588951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Fnatic73c430.72$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.294358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Fnatic70c429.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7434857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fnatic69c428.67$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6926447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…ae3dbacked Fnatic70c427.56$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed GIANTX31c407.25$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.256443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…0261backed Fnatic69c380.47$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked GIANTX30c358$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.42729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked GIANTX30c340.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.076445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Fnatic70c335.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed GIANTX30c334.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked Fnatic70c321.29$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a6…6c3fbacked Fnatic71c319.63$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked GIANTX28c290$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.211044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed GIANTX16c281.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed GIANTX28c276.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3713743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Fnatic70c275.57$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.673240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed GIANTX30c275.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.917241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Fnatic64c272.63$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.153540%14 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Fnatic70c271.69$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.511650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked GIANTX26c268.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1516420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fnatic76c260.73$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.621,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Fnatic70c260.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0522346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed GIANTX13c249.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.374042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fnatic72c229.25$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.791,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic68c221.98$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed Fnatic70c217.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf2…d024backed GIANTX30c214.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Fnatic65c208.61$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.611850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Fnatic72c208.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.326055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Fnatic69c208$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.481275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Fnatic70c205.41$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.621369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xed96…d594backed GIANTX10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202825%7 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7497…9a02backed GIANTX30c198.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Fnatic64c195$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.214852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Fnatic70c193.48$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1328252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6307…fb7cbacked GIANTX29c173$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked GIANTX30c170.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1710555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed GIANTX31c150.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.648960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6609…4e73backed Fnatic67c136.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Fnatic73c121.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.396066.7%40 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Fnatic69c119.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.225843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed GIANTX15c117.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.233834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Fnatic73c116.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.742763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Fnatic69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX29c107.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1263447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed GIANTX31c104.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4416041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.