MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793ea8d51674c942f485bf9030316e0bc1f47b6db810902587ffa5530ab41b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Cleveland Guardians, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $751,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $822,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $751,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 201,518$106,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,159.35 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 160,000$76,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,799.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 59,704$29,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,255 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 40,846$22,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,290.51 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 32,013$15,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,006.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 31,849$14,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,561.36 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.62 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 14,633$7,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 14,189$6,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,668.83 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 10,347$5,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 10,285$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 9,119$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 8,961$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 8,428$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 8,379$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 8,079$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 6,439$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 6,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 5,312$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.93 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,096$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…7e68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 4,040$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,792$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 3,351$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 3,288$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.16 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,054$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,772$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,718$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.13 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,609$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.93 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 2,424$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.1 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,407$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.15 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,314$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,290$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.34 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,200$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,795$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.69 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,559$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.52 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,525$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.05 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,246$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,237$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.22 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,183$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,056$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.2 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,018$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 981.62$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.36 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 975.98$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.29 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 878.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 848.1$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 836.88$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 699.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 698$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.04 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 694.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 636.18$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 630.87$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.51 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 595$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 594.02$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 555.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.65 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 498.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 444$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 409.43$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 404$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 393$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 382.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 370.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 356$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 352$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 343.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.