MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303d1171c8df2ac6f158924fb781a6beae5ada70823e5c68a5a1ff94d098f6f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $806,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 156,439$108,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,398.38 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 110,000$51,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,299.83 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 97,006$36,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,530.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 83,622$45,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,244.21 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 52,374$23,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,805.65 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 51,215$17,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,417.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 41,862$20,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,558.89 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 34,444$18,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,255.25 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 25,351$11,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,689.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 24,458$11,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,007.2 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 19,999$10,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.47 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 18,488$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 17,777$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,421.81 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 15,386$8,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,051.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 15,000$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 14,376$7,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,619.28 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 13,954$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.18 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 13,415$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 12,400$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,068 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 8,763$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.58 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 8,169$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 7,479$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.32 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 7,174$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 6,404$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 6,016$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.17 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 5,099$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.45 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,989$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.84 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x121c…ea19backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 4,984$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 4,946$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 4,592$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,544$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 4,170$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 4,137$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 3,868$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.84 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,840$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.39 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 3,317$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.47 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 3,123$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 2,844$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.64 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.7wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 2,800$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.2 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 2,515$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.51 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,279$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.65 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,256$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.67 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,230$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.9 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 2,048$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.68 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 2,005$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,997$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,895$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.51 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,734$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.91 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 1,722$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,719$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.02 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,361$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,226$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,209$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,200$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 1,160$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddc…c874backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,047$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,021$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.18 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,018$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.6 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,011$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.34 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,006$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.43 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 995.2$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.98 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 988.39$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 962.03$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.38 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 889.37$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 866.93$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 853.09$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 839.96$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.58 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 818.78$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 735.39$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 726.42$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 722.13$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 716.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 683.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 630.19$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 629.37$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 621.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 605$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 602.22$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 600$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 599.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.