MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1b266e909a6b9a386e989dc81493ad1b2b05904166f7066c1842f521d0326e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 54c | 65,570$35,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,407.79 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 42,054$19,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,708.97 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 17,262$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,321.48 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 14,933$6,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.11 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 6,214$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 45c | 4,702$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.1 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 4,365$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.75 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Over | 48c | 2,697$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.1 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 2,509$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.97 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 59c | 2,423$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.57 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 2,257$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.35 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Over | 55c | 1,795$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 1,375$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.16 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,214$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.4 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 1,208$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.92 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 1,170$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.65 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.83 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 1,017$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 47c | 869.57$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 816.13$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.71 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 767$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 749.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 687.06$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.77 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 60c | 449.17$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 66c | 431.22$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 402.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 392.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 46c | 356.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 30c | 326.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 313.88$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 45c | 308$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 47c | 304.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 47c | 289.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 267.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 64c | 265$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 40c | 178.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 54c | 168.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 59c | 103.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 101.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…55b9backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 46c | 89.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 46c | 86.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…14cebacked Over | 53c | 71.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…6a1abacked Over | 53c | 71.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Under | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 60c | 64.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 47c | 61.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 46c | 47.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 44c | 37.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 55c | 36.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 56c | 31.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 55c | 31.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 55c | 30.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 45c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 47c | 29.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…632abacked Over | 52c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 27.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 55c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 19.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Over | 55c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 63c | 17.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.