Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d227c924cae06ce3fd34a6487e88261d1e796e4b86b8e3d4ee501f91c3ffac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof VARREL, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VARREL | 34c | 1,674$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.17 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed DRX | 67c | 1,454$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX | 60c | 1,071$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.11 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX | 30c | 986.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DRX | 15c | 876.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DRX | 31c | 811.36$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed VARREL | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DRX | 51c | 744.63$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed DRX | 65c | 724.53$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked VARREL | 53c | 615.72$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VARREL | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VARREL | 48c | 547.11$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed DRX | 24c | 469.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked DRX | 62c | 450.46$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.29 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed VARREL | 43c | 400.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked DRX | 62c | 389.8$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VARREL | 37c | 327.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.52 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked DRX | 61c | 313.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed VARREL | 65c | 305.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked VARREL | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed DRX | 6c | 253$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DRX | 52c | 226.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked VARREL | 42c | 201.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed VARREL | 49c | 197.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked VARREL | 37c | 194.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked DRX | 54c | 178.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed DRX | 63c | 172.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked DRX | 54c | 171.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VARREL | 50c | 170.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked DRX | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…8380backed DRX | 65c | 152.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked VARREL | 45c | 150.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed DRX | 50c | 141$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked VARREL | 71c | 140.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed VARREL | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked DRX | 21c | 139.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DRX | 14c | 126.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked DRX | 42c | 123.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed VARREL | 44c | 119.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked DRX | 22c | 105.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed VARREL | 40c | 101.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked VARREL | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed VARREL | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked VARREL | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked DRX | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DRX | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked DRX | 60c | 99.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX | 37c | 98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed DRX | 59c | 97.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…e1e3backed DRX | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DRX | 52c | 89.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked DRX | 62c | 88.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed DRX | 61c | 84.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed DRX | 56c | 78.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked DRX | 56c | 71.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed DRX | 67c | 70.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked DRX | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DRX | 16c | 62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed VARREL | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed DRX | 51c | 59.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed VARREL | 33c | 50.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed VARREL | 38c | 49.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…3c33backed DRX | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked VARREL | 44c | 41.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked DRX | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked DRX | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked VARREL | 42c | 32.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked VARREL | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked DRX | 41c | 28.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed DRX | 63c | 23.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed DRX | 58c | 23.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked VARREL | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked DRX | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed VARREL | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerDRX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.