Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8853857351c05678e56cc492c75b7ef31e034aa6723d5fa0867c7361a5f0d4df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof VARREL, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed DRX | 57c | 1,250$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.21 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed VARREL | 11c | 1,007$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed VARREL | 44c | 937.11$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.96 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed DRX | 54c | 916.26$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.07 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DRX | 52c | 900$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DRX | 50c | 887.68$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.63 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed VARREL | 49c | 830.74$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked VARREL | 47c | 749$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX | 58c | 726.17$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked DRX | 59c | 666.61$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked VARREL | 58c | 550.21$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.71 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed VARREL | 46c | 518.02$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed VARREL | 42c | 500.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.54 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed VARREL | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VARREL | 22c | 399.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed DRX | 55c | 300.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked VARREL | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DRX | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked VARREL | 42c | 293.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DRX | 64c | 267.59$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked DRX | 59c | 262.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953b…f747backed VARREL | 49c | 235.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed VARREL | 45c | 216$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed VARREL | 49c | 209.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed VARREL | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked DRX | 64c | 191.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed VARREL | 47c | 169.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DRX | 49c | 167.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…f703backed VARREL | 60c | 151.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed DRX | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed VARREL | 15c | 106.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked DRX | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed DRX | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked VARREL | 41c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked VARREL | 49c | 91.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed DRX | 41c | 77.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked VARREL | 55c | 76.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed DRX | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked DRX | 60c | 69.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked VARREL | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed DRX | 52c | 65.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked VARREL | 41c | 60.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed DRX | 58c | 56.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed VARREL | 39c | 54.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked DRX | 56c | 52.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DRX | 55c | 51.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked DRX | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed VARREL | 42c | 46.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VARREL | 33c | 44.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…3c33backed DRX | 58c | 42.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked DRX | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked VARREL | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed DRX | 59c | 35.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked VARREL | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked DRX | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked VARREL | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked DRX | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked VARREL | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed DRX | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed DRX | 60c | 22.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked DRX | 60c | 22.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked VARREL | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed DRX | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.