Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c06d2ee735c8698dcc6c96b7a786addcbc2f00271dc1bd7161e3bd7477888f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof DRX, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed VARREL | 74c | 5,272$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.69 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked DRX | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed DRX | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed DRX | 32c | 787.49$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.69 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed DRX | 27c | 685.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed DRX | 25c | 500.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed DRX | 25c | 472.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked DRX | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked DRX | 28c | 271.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed DRX | 25c | 223.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked DRX | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed VARREL | 66c | 171$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed DRX | 28c | 152.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked VARREL | 63c | 100.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed VARREL | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked DRX | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed VARREL | 73c | 75.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed DRX | 25c | 59.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed VARREL | 33c | 58.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed VARREL | 71c | 53.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked VARREL | 66c | 51.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed VARREL | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked DRX | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerDRX won
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.