Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d59165b25a81e7dec8298c50311498153c47f2ca710c1259eede65c9fc0def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $838,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 818 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked Yes | 65c | 140,028$91,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,375.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed No | 34c | 70,017$23,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,905.9 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 35c | 54,283$19,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,045.4 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f27…6d66backed Yes | 61c | 50,016$30,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,321.36 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +48%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 35c | 43,172$15,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,122.09 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 67c | 37,777$25,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,466.41 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed No | 33c | 31,755$10,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,479.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes | 67c | 27,735$18,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,152.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 67c | 25,373$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,373.13 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 33c | 22,222$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.22 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 35c | 21,548$7,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,583.39 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked No | 35c | 21,169$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,337.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 65c | 18,152$11,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.44 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 67c | 16,674$11,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.7 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 34c | 16,272$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.41 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.92 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed No | 34c | 14,822$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 14,721$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…df79backed Yes | 69c | 14,533$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed No | 36c | 14,337$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,161.23 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 45c | 13,225$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.53 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 35c | 10,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.85 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed No | 34c | 10,479$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 67c | 10,448$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.76 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.94 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 33c | 9,999$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.67 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 8,864$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked No | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 47c | 8,500$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.19 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed No | 36c | 8,050$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 66c | 7,622$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.38 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.94 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 65c | 6,923$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.08 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 6,590$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 35c | 5,975$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.58 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked No | 34c | 5,284$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 34c | 5,097$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.97 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.92 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 65c | 4,923$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.08 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 4,894$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.83 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 62c | 4,864$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.28 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 65c | 4,633$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.68 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Yes | 66c | 4,374$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.36 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 60c | 4,321$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.48 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…6dedbacked Yes | 63c | 4,254$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1b0dbacked Yes | 58c | 4,150$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.49 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 69c | 4,030$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.3 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,898$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 37c | 3,770$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.66 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.21 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 64c | 3,160$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.45 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Yes | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 66c | 3,032$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.82 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,025$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.93 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 31c | 2,994$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.84 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…1e91backed Yes | 50c | 2,772$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.06 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 37c | 2,767$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 39c | 2,747$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 65c | 2,735$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.91 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…432fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,474$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 35c | 2,381$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.14 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…b381backed No | 37c | 2,276$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 66c | 2,250$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 67c | 2,250$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…bb9ebacked No | 37c | 2,185$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.39 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 48c | 2,085$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.15 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…6331backed Yes | 65c | 1,980$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.9 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 34c | 1,977$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 1,972$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.42 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,940$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…62a1backed Yes | 67c | 1,932$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 33c | 1,930$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.39 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 35c | 1,900$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.12 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 36c | 1,896$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.81 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…91e4backed No | 36c | 1,878$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…8dc5backed Yes | 64c | 1,776$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.31 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 64c | 1,635$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.23 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…d3dabacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…db69backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.5 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.73 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 65c | 1,489$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.72 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsthis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.