Fifa International · resolved market
Michael Olise: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba2e9de6ecfc5ae6cd7881b16a368ae4819bbdf54cc601064931d78dcb00f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 74,638$48,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,123.3 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 35c | 73,115$25,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,459.81 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed No | 64c | 8,383$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.01 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 6,146$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 66c | 5,643$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.64 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 66c | 5,545$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.46 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.94 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 34c | 4,425$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 4,215$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.45 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 66c | 4,200$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.08 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.96 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 66c | 3,988$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.01 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 36c | 3,889$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,934$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,853$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed Yes | 34c | 2,170$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.97 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,857$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…213abacked Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 1,279$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.04 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 1,187$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.41 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 34c | 1,082$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 8cpaid | +805.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 35c | 991.71$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Yes | 2c | 988.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 34c | 970.59$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…3ac1backed Yes | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 65c | 887.96$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.78 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…ed26backed Yes | 34c | 885.32$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…21cfbacked Yes | 38c | 870.04$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…b29fbacked Yes | 35c | 859.25$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…d4b5backed Yes | 4c | 833$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…401ebacked Yes | 38c | 810$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 37c | 804.41$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 62c | 782.28$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.14 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 749.9$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 66c | 747.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.19 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 34c | 722.51$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes | 7c | 688.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 69c | 659.65$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 14c | 600$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…1cfabacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…1294backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 34c | 582$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 35c | 575$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 533.67$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.45 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 21c | 527.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 65c | 509.22$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 66c | 499.94$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…faeabacked Yes | 41c | 490.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 472.46$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…f676backed Yes | 34c | 470.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 452.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 34c | 422.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…8964backed Yes | 35c | 402.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 34c | 397.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 389.2$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 380.13$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Yes | 37c | 367$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 65c | 351$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…5082backed Yes | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 63c | 333.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 310.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed No | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…aa6dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 65c | 287.94$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Yes | 16c | 286$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 18c | 283.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…2dd7backed Yes | 34c | 282.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes | 35c | 281.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 34c | 270.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…38bfbacked Yes | 39c | 270$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…e635backed Yes | 32c | 259.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281c…bd35backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsthis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.