Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde9d742c857c08d5b0ab155501114e642f092bc5083f505944cdaf63b0206c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 71c | 2,833$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.44 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 70c | 908.45$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 72c | 708$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 78c | 700$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 72c | 613.05$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.65 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 73c | 571.92$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.42 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…315ebacked Yes | 28c | 532.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 28c | 507.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…8c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 28c | 281.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 59c | 252.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 247.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed Yes | 28c | 246.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 26c | 180.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 74c | 140.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed No | 72c | 138.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…b98abacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 23c | 125.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 118$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 116.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…3833backed Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 72c | 89.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…0934backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 73c | 85.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 35c | 84.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…91abbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…1736backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed No | 72c | 67.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 63.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked No | 73c | 63.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 57.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 57.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…d8aabacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…32a1backed Yes | 29c | 48.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 40.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 31c | 37.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…84a2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 72c | 21.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 72c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assiststhis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.