Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5523f780c2df6127b7055a4da0b0329a25a38f101a898900e2e02e1c4871d798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked Yes | 28c | 107,759$29,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,684.13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 72c | 32,866$23,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.32 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 73c | 29,841$21,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,068.26 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 73c | 27,828$20,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,513.56 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 27c | 25,660$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.61 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed No | 73c | 19,838$14,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked No | 73c | 19,380$14,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 28c | 18,058$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 29c | 17,777$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.33 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 30c | 16,788$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 72c | 14,627$10,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.01 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 71c | 14,500$10,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.96 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 72c | 14,251$10,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.26 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 70c | 13,071$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.35 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 72c | 12,518$8,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.94 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 73c | 10,041$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.02 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 72c | 9,244$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.07 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 72c | 9,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.89 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 73c | 8,662$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.74 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 27c | 7,507$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.78 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 6,728$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 5,419$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 71c | 4,000$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked No | 71c | 3,583$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.19 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,496$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.96 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,964$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.73 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Yes | 28c | 2,698$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 21c | 2,389$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 22c | 2,216$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 72c | 1,800$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 28c | 1,556$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2bf6backed Yes | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 26c | 1,527$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.07 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 14c | 1,433$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…2112backed Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 72c | 1,419$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…c844backed Yes | 23c | 1,393$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 22c | 1,223$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 74c | 1,209$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.63 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,159$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,157$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 28c | 1,111$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 28c | 1,047$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.27 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes | 27c | 1,037$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…27e0backed Yes | 28c | 1,004$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 72c | 999.83$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 30c | 980$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 72c | 805.69$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed No | 71c | 780$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 716$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7844…24dfbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 28c | 699.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 29c | 689.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…8cffbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Yes | 28c | 678.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…c27dbacked No | 74c | 676.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…4949backed Yes | 30c | 670.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 651.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322b…2718backed No | 72c | 639.97$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 73c | 606.41$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 28c | 605$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 5c | 604.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 72c | 599.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…5cc5backed Yes | 28c | 571.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 31c | 504.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…6ab0backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…3d6dbacked No | 72c | 498.89$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 72c | 486.58$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 28c | 459.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked Yes | 31c | 444.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…0be9backed Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 29c | 443.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Yes | 23c | 425.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…bed6backed No | 71c | 421.76$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 72c | 413.89$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked No | 72c | 412.96$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 68c | 403$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 382.58$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Yes | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsthis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.