Fifa International · resolved market
Michael Olise: 2+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x673e8379abb57a2cf94bf14b20316a2b974297c4a54495906c23afdd435d80e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 16c | 12,813$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…efe5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 15.1%11 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes | 15c | 631.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 10c | 553.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…f020backed Yes | 17c | 293.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…b294backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 16c | 247.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…1a27backed Yes | 18c | 210.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…da06backed Yes | 12c | 199.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…b9d9backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…ecadbacked Yes | 15c | 129.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…1dd9backed Yes | 16c | 122.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 17c | 102.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…6713backed Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…cf88backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…5a71backed Yes | 40c | 62.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…fd73backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…e2c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…f4debacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…2b9bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…346fbacked Yes | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 80c | 34.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 56c | 22.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michael Olise: 2+ assiststhis page
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ assistsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ goalsNo won
- Miguel Almirón: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.