TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa073…84a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$14.55
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+180.3%+$34.74
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$11.71
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$46.17
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+147%+$55.39
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+52.9%+$31.72
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$26.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.