AI · resolved market
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aed35d66a2094c1221c040489e5507065f7c38381d8874e436a0ce9ff029315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,149,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,450,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,149,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 110,076$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 75,615$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 69,516$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.2 | 150 | 1.3%2 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…76a5backed Yes | 0c | 59,258$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 0c | 57,459$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 56,570$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.87 | 631 | 1.3%8 W · 623 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…48bfbacked Yes | 0c | 34,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Yes | 1c | 32,520$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 32,287$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 83 | 1.2%1 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…1bcabacked Yes | 4c | 24,170$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Yes | 0c | 20,699$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bb…c186backed Yes | 4c | 17,132$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 14,399$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 12,246$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,094$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 12,054$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…7d19backed Yes | 0c | 11,733$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 0c | 11,664$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…10fbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,576$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 1c | 10,389$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…1cf4backed Yes | 3c | 9,640$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 3c | 9,503$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.06 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 3c | 9,393$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.21 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…fc01backed Yes | 2c | 9,323$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…3c54backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…14a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 7c | 7,001$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad27…32fdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,629$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 6,627$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 6,070$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.51 | 1,371 | 6.8%93 W · 1,278 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…185cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,760$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…36d6backed Yes | 1c | 5,746$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…ba1cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,704$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…73d2backed Yes | 2c | 5,572$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…626bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,470$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 1c | 5,327$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,287$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,070$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…24e2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…ebdebacked Yes | 4c | 4,907$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…d510backed Yes | 7c | 4,766$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,573$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 259 | 0%0 W · 259 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,554$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…43f6backed Yes | 0c | 4,525$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 0c | 4,510$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,424$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…026dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,316$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…c54dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,262$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 0c | 4,219$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 5c | 4,197$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…7b9bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,128$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 4,030$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…adb3backed Yes | 3c | 3,892$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…d837backed Yes | 6c | 3,796$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…e451backed Yes | 6c | 3,748$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…0fcdbacked Yes | 10c | 3,702$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db4…29e8backed Yes | 6c | 3,615$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…bf5ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,440$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…b5d1backed Yes | 1c | 3,422$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed Yes | 3c | 3,360$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,342$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,289$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,141$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 3,141$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…7fe7backed Yes | 5c | 3,093$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,021$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.91 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…82d3backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…c577backed Yes | 5c | 2,924$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 6c | 2,830$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…3154backed Yes | 2c | 2,800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 0c | 2,789$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…0242backed Yes | 8c | 2,772$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…813abacked Yes | 5c | 2,763$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…5bd4backed Yes | 3c | 2,699$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…2162backed Yes | 4c | 2,676$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,652$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 146 | 21.2%31 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…d039backed Yes | 6c | 2,640$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,598$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1c8ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,493$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4640…57d4backed Yes | 6c | 2,485$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…01d7backed Yes | 6c | 2,457$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…a99ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,426$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,408$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 2,406$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,401$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…be60backed Yes | 2c | 2,378$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…c21ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,342$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…6833backed Yes | 5c | 2,321$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…a2c5backed Yes | 6c | 2,280$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes | 2c | 2,252$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…35d9backed Yes | 6c | 2,247$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…669abacked Yes | 9c | 2,246$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…8ceebacked Yes | 2c | 2,233$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4afebacked Yes | 3c | 2,221$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…cf1abacked Yes | 6c | 2,169$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4015…07fdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,149$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.