AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241ac01c5cdac5f72014a8039b6678faa26f2f93577e6aaf629600f0b5770a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,217,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $631,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 132,068$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…3115backed Yes | 0c | 106,797$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,889$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 58,181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 52,032$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 30,999$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 0c | 30,978$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 29,998$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…3c54backed Yes | 0c | 27,583$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 1c | 22,121$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 1c | 16,341$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 13,813$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…3b8fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,053$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 11,085$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…5875backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…9722backed Yes | 2c | 9,968$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,614$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…deb6backed Yes | 1c | 8,289$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 1c | 7,345$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…c4dfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,304$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +6,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…51d9backed Yes | 1c | 6,291$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 6,281$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…3331backed Yes | 1c | 6,178$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,872$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…1f98backed Yes | 2c | 5,609$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 1c | 5,513$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 5,070$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…43f6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…bbccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,798$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,657$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 1c | 3,929$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c8d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,765$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,573$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…96adbacked Yes | 0c | 3,342$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 3,294$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,254$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 3,039$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 3,030$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,979$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…ad6dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,894$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,702$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…e4efbacked Yes | 2c | 2,632$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…65d6backed Yes | 2c | 2,489$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 1c | 2,415$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…fcbfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,345$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…1871backed Yes | 2c | 2,334$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…2a34backed Yes | 1c | 2,282$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,277$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…dc26backed Yes | 2c | 2,266$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…bcd2backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…5e5abacked Yes | 1c | 2,168$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…0519backed Yes | 1c | 2,151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…3cf3backed Yes | 2c | 2,078$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…05babacked Yes | 3c | 2,044$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…1d2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,898$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…3d2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,807$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 2c | 1,646$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…915bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,637$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,621$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,613$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…0444backed Yes | 3c | 1,605$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 3c | 1,508$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9aafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,505$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…05f5backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb53…edd1backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…c7c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,498$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…870ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…99f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,393$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…7a4abacked Yes | 2c | 1,373$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…f7d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,305$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…7316backed Yes | 5c | 1,277$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…4f07backed Yes | 5c | 1,251$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2951backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 1c | 1,203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…85c6backed Yes | 5c | 1,186$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…958abacked Yes | 3c | 1,123$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,083$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…391cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,052$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…6705backed Yes | 4c | 1,042$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…ed40backed Yes | 1c | 1,040$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…f3f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,031$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 1c | 999$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…c902backed Yes | 1c | 995$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…4e2ebacked Yes | 1c | 990$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…c635backed Yes | 3c | 968$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…1893backed Yes | 4c | 967$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 962.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…9cb0backed Yes | 2c | 960$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…d8bcbacked Yes | 2c | 960$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…526ebacked Yes | 3c | 953$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 3c | 950$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…dc9bbacked Yes | 1c | 950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5925…6cc4backed Yes | 2c | 944.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…5c33backed Yes | 2c | 943$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.