TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9084…d70f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$26.01
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+140%+$17.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$68.33
Bordeaux: Jenson Brooksby vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
Cordoba: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Ryan Dickersonbacked Juan Ignacio Gallego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.61
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.34
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Solana reach $90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.32
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.2
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$47.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$128.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$87.56
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+246.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.52
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$22.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+234.1%+$256.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.