TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked No50c1,608$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.9614842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No49c1,529$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.282166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No50c1,034$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.8227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c983.95$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4891,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes58c867.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes53c732.71$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8128838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9382…a673backed Yes53c656.19$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No48c599.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9924949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Yes50c583.45$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No44c555.28$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Yes52c525$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2514338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Yes50c436.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.391241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No51c399.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9722656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No46c390.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8190863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12515744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes44c215.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.613133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Yes51c211.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43c0…51ffbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Yes55c175.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…ea92backed Yes55c175$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…3992backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No43c155.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4611145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes50c150.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes50c129.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.895850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x655c…60b5backed Yes49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bc3…1544backed Yes50c110.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+104.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Yes48c103.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.664850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6659…792bbacked Yes54c102.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes50c100.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a16…5ce9backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae9d…abe7backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes55c99.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed No53c93.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.783652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Yes45c93.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked No38c93.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked No54c92.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.27546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.082536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes46c90.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes54c90.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.812653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b3…fec6backed Yes51c89.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No45c86.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Yes50c83.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972c…c0aabacked No60c83.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed No48c80.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.644360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd021…12b5backed No47c71.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes51c65.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.94757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2df…0cadbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9084…d70fbacked Yes38c60.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284a…8759backed Yes51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc818…cd44backed Yes50c59.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Yes49c58.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.69520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.929853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Yes50c50.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e9…543fbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3457…0161backed Yes59c45.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.872832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Yes50c43.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.641560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7857…f0cebacked Yes51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Yes50c42.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.094949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed No52c42.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2510954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Yes50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No51c39.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0431748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1da…f678backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd0…1f67backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x123d…1cabbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cad…341dbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc94…a3b6backed Yes50c36.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No50c35.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ec…a28ebacked Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.346346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3633…a72bbacked Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No46c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1933556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af4…3725backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda26…3b2fbacked Yes54c27.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No52c27.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe851…fbeabacked Yes49c27.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No61c27.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6214359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c0…4731backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked No38c26.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x251f…2967backed Yes50c23.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed No46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.745058%29 W · 21 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a9e…5347backed Yes51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…5397backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d66…e2e5backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…c2cbbacked Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…45c2backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.