TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6659…792b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolvesbacked Minnesota Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippersbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.48
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.52
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.84
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$108.27
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.83
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$72.01
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.84
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.16
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.46
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+46%+$37.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.8
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$14.63
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$13.27
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.31
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$52.53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$10.94
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Washington Nationals winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.04
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+244.1%+$85.45
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Ricebacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
ITF Brisbane: Matt Hulme vs Jake Delaneybacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athens Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneevabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
ITF Brisbane: Benjamin O'connell vs Jake Delaneybacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+45%+$11.71
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$15.66
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuharabacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$7.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$15.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.