MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9421c643b5dcb987467d14aea86182ffc8cad06386b82ac311409e64f363a6a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $578,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 113,500$63,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,536.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 37,110$17,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,905.84 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 31,799$13,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,807.42 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 27,465$13,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,007.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 25,290$11,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,162.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 15,282$7,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,107.73 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 15,215$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.58 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 12,925$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.28 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 12,770$7,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.57 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 10,871$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,985.42 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 10,253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 10,196$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 10,021$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 9,910$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.79 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 7,848$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 7,545$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 7,386$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.53 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 7,382$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.76 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 7,272$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 7,144$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.33 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 6,061$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.9 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 5,381$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.97 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 4,900$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,368$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 3,849$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.19 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,780$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 3,262$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 3,209$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.38 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…0e17backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 3,035$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.82 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,669$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 2,659$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,592$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.39 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,458$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.13 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,386$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.29 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 2,350$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.97 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,340$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.24 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 2,210$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,048$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,758$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.48 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 1,747$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 31c | 1,694$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.11 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,519$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,465$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.44 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,418$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 1,293$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,144$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,144$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0f3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.09 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 1,068$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,067$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.42 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,033$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,033$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.09 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 965.1$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 956$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.77 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 920.24$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.33 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 883.47$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.23 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 24c | 872.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.55 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 834$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 830.84$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.27 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 766.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 735.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.36 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 708.01$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 654.92$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.46 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 648.23$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 641.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.54 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 608$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.48 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 548.83$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.56 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 520$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.13 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 517.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.72 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 507.86$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 500.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 489.58$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.