MLB · resolved market
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc168fdba98675aa70ab35b80bd07338e14088c290f47db4bb70b5d89dcda9f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Baltimore Orioles, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 80,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,199.98 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 39,065$23,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,235.41 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 20,264$12,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 9,234$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 8,836$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 7,966$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.74 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 7,437$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.22 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 6,653$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 4,261$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.57 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,094$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.78 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 3,247$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.96 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,089$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,074$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.28 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,057$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.28 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,719$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,110$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,024$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.98 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 981.5$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 975$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 655.7$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 538.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 497.82$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.89 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 459.3$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 381.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 369$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 345.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 324.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 311.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 306.46$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 305.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 303.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 274.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 237.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 235.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 195.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 172.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 160.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 149.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 134.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 108.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 102.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 101.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 87.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 85.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 85.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 85.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 62.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 59.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 33.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 30.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 24.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 23.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 22.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 22.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 21.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 19.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 14.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore OriolesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.