Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba335c908503f7d448aa72107896741aa5625da8257c7d8fb1be3930ed54d8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rio Noguchiof Rio Noguchi, Keegan Rice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef53…4591backed Rio Noguchi | 61c | 46,585$28,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,301.18 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Keegan Rice | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Rio Noguchi | 11c | 8,555$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.66 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keegan Rice | 27c | 5,987$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Keegan Rice | 30c | 5,937$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Keegan Rice | 27c | 4,770$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.76 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keegan Rice | 20c | 3,538$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.88 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Rio Noguchi | 32c | 3,094$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.93 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Keegan Rice | 37c | 2,644$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.28 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Rio Noguchi | 58c | 2,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.86 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Keegan Rice | 39c | 2,311$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.79 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Keegan Rice | 60c | 2,308$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Keegan Rice | 68c | 2,214$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.23 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Keegan Rice | 39c | 2,005$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.08 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Keegan Rice | 65c | 1,827$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.71 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rio Noguchi | 78c | 1,529$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rio Noguchi | 56c | 1,510$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Rio Noguchi | 9c | 1,500$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.73 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Keegan Rice | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Keegan Rice | 44c | 1,356$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.64 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keegan Rice | 38c | 1,222$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.92 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Rio Noguchi | 22c | 1,125$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.01 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keegan Rice | 61c | 1,000$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Keegan Rice | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Keegan Rice | 57c | 957.36$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.43 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Keegan Rice | 37c | 853.71$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.87 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Keegan Rice | 38c | 776.17$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Keegan Rice | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Rio Noguchi | 29c | 710.51$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.75 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Keegan Rice | 37c | 708.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Keegan Rice | 37c | 703.56$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.32 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Keegan Rice | 71c | 680.5$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.43 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Keegan Rice | 38c | 644.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.22 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi | 28c | 609.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Rice | 6c | 607.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Keegan Rice | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Keegan Rice | 36c | 566.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rio Noguchi | 55c | 556.3$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keegan Rice | 59c | 521.2$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.99 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…ed16backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 484.85$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Rio Noguchi | 64c | 430$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Rio Noguchi | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…8c93backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 370.06$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…07b9backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 368.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Rio Noguchi | 66c | 360.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Keegan Rice | 65c | 359.16$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Keegan Rice | 5c | 347.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keegan Rice | 30c | 328$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Rio Noguchi | 8c | 304.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Keegan Rice | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Rio Noguchi | 15c | 294.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Rio Noguchi | 35c | 289.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Keegan Rice | 47c | 284.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd5…0c77backed Rio Noguchi | 6c | 275.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Keegan Rice | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 243.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Keegan Rice | 38c | 240$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…d404backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 237.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Keegan Rice | 67c | 228$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f871backed Keegan Rice | 69c | 210$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Rio Noguchi | 48c | 208.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Rio Noguchi | 26c | 203.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…157bbacked Rio Noguchi | 61c | 202.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Rice | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keegan Rice | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keegan Rice | 54c | 197.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Keegan Rice | 38c | 196.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…2778backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 195.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Keegan Rice | 67c | 176.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Rio Noguchi | 60c | 173.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Keegan Rice | 57c | 171.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Keegan Rice | 57c | 171.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked Keegan Rice | 50c | 170.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked Rio Noguchi | 62c | 162.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keegan Rice | 37c | 156.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fe…df2fbacked Rio Noguchi | 63c | 150.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Keegan Rice | 71c | 145$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Keegan Rice | 42c | 142.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 136.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Keegan Rice | 37c | 134.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rio Noguchi | 53c | 127.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 125.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Keegan Rice | 41c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…dc7dbacked Keegan Rice | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Keegan Rice | 40c | 105.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Rio Noguchi | 44c | 102.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Rice | 69c | 101.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Keegan Rice | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Keegan Rice | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Keegan Rice | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Keegan Rice | 67c | 95.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…147fbacked Rio Noguchi | 19c | 91.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Keegan Rice | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 87.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Keegan Rice | 69c | 86.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Rio Noguchi | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Rice | 46c | 83.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…868cbacked Rio Noguchi | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Keegan Rice | 59c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Ricethis page
- Set Handicap: Noguchi (-1.5) vs Rice (+1.5)Rice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.