TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdd5…0c77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5729.8%17 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.98
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshitabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
US Open, Qualification WTA: Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickovabacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$15.86
Winston-Salem Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$19.79
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$6.94
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavskybacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.86
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Noritaka Koizumi vs Kristjan Tammbacked Noritaka Koizumi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.97
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Funa Kozaki vs Eunji Leebacked Funa Kozaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$20.42
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+264.4%+$37.68
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$37.57
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Kingston: Elias Ymer vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$26.2
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.