Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38c7c1ebe56f7e856f8e6b9b0b2dff96cf5842796d29532a7c71200a48b302b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Daniel Milavsky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Daniel Milavsky | 43c | 20,024$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.91 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daniel Milavsky | 56c | 19,373$10,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,915.57 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 18,789$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.07 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Daniel Milavsky | 29c | 10,800$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.68 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Daniel Milavsky | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Daniel Milavsky | 62c | 8,873$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.23 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Milavsky | 5c | 6,764$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Milavsky | 40c | 6,466$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.23 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 4,400$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.21 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 4,170$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Milavsky | 25c | 4,098$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 3,369$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.71 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 51c | 2,733$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.18 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Daniel Milavsky | 39c | 2,252$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.4 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Daniel Milavsky | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Daniel Milavsky | 20c | 2,043$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.61 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 1,997$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 1,969$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.53 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 1,870$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.63 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 41c | 1,557$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.21 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 1,499$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.66 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Daniel Milavsky | 14c | 1,321$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Daniel Milavsky | 65c | 1,260$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 43c | 1,209$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Daniel Milavsky | 12c | 1,200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.71 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.42 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 43c | 1,059$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.99 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 1,051$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Daniel Milavsky | 11c | 995$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Daniel Milavsky | 63c | 967.51$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.65 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Milavsky | 42c | 956.49$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 64c | 938.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.12 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daniel Milavsky | 39c | 869.36$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.05 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 772.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 769.5$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.67 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Daniel Milavsky | 22c | 767.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 740$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 723.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 708.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 666.67$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…fed8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 627.46$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Milavsky | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 560.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 21.5%32 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 551.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 521.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 495.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 442.82$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Daniel Milavsky | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 410$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 405.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Milavsky | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Daniel Milavsky | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 45c | 389.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 378.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 33c | 371.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 362.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 355$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 344$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 325.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…ad06backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 307.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Daniel Milavsky | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Milavsky | 41c | 291.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Daniel Milavsky | 33c | 255$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Daniel Milavsky | 12c | 246.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Daniel Milavsky | 43c | 234$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 233.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 228.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 216.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Daniel Milavsky | 37c | 204.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 204.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Daniel Milavsky | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Daniel Milavsky | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Daniel Milavsky | 40c | 172.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Daniel Milavsky | 38c | 166.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Milavsky | 64c | 161.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 158.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Daniel Milavsky | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Daniel Milavsky | 57c | 149.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Daniel Milavsky | 37c | 128.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 37c | 126.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Daniel Milavsky | 59c | 121.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…30abbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 113.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Daniel Milavsky | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 103.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b5…1bd4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 102.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavskythis page
- Game Spread: Mochizuki (-1.5) vs Milavsky (+1.5)Mochizuki won
- Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs MilavskyMochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.