TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Elias Ymer vs Paul Jubb

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elias Ymerof Elias Ymer, Paul Jubb
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc293…fac3backed Elias Ymer52c5,802$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.98056.3%45 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paul Jubb39c5,494$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.578,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Paul Jubb25c2,196$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5542332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paul Jubb12c1,671$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.98,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5411…cce0backed Elias Ymer48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Paul Jubb30c690.46$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.53,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Elias Ymer73c669.62$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9119041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Elias Ymer77c549$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.231,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Paul Jubb13c530.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.484,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Elias Ymer55c526.09$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.531,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Paul Jubb23c477.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1364837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elias Ymer65c458.03$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.524,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Paul Jubb22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Elias Ymer54c444.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4445256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Elias Ymer73c442.93$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5922152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Paul Jubb41c439.89$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.013,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Elias Ymer76c393.96$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.551,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Elias Ymer77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6168157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Elias Ymer74c384$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.846759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Paul Jubb27c353.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.291,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Elias Ymer66c302.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5572147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Elias Ymer52c299.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7617942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Paul Jubb19c290.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5658931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elias Ymer67c282.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.39,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Paul Jubb25c266.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Paul Jubb18c266$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Paul Jubb48c262.38$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.943,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbd…1a22backed Elias Ymer74c245.95$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Paul Jubb21c242.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524447.7%21 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Paul Jubb14c220.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3224231%75 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Paul Jubb46c220.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.235648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Elias Ymer75c211.37$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8416667.5%112 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Paul Jubb47c205.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.371,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Elias Ymer79c203.49$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7315742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Paul Jubb49c194.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.427,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Paul Jubb27c194.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2888358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Elias Ymer55c193.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3782560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Elias Ymer76c174.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.273,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paul Jubb46c166.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Elias Ymer54c162.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.391,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Paul Jubb49c158.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.152,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Paul Jubb48c155.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6628954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Paul Jubb24c150.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.211,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Elias Ymer72c144$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3234149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paul Jubb15c138.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.386,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Elias Ymer51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2528255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elias Ymer61c135.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.548,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Paul Jubb23c124.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Paul Jubb35c122.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Paul Jubb50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5093945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Paul Jubb46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4655347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Elias Ymer72c93.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0448947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Paul Jubb29c82.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911618.1%21 W · 95 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Elias Ymer76c71.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.181,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd5…0c77backed Paul Jubb19c67.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55729.8%17 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Paul Jubb29c61.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.556,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paul Jubb24c58.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.043,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Paul Jubb21c58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.275,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Paul Jubb34c57.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Paul Jubb39c55.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.810240.2%41 W · 61 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Paul Jubb22c54.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Elias Ymer75c45.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Paul Jubb47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1569545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Elias Ymer78c44.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8730268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Elias Ymer50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205844.8%26 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Paul Jubb51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Elias Ymer51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2235164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Paul Jubb47c37.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.266,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Elias Ymer54c37.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0315557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elias Ymer76c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.887,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Elias Ymer64c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3239759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Paul Jubb49c34.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.139531.6%30 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Paul Jubb48c30.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Elias Ymer80c29.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8333462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Elias Ymer76c27.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.836,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Elias Ymer62c27.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4220558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Paul Jubb44c23.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Elias Ymer74c20.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1242359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Elias Ymer73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.426868.3%183 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf7b…013bbacked Paul Jubb51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Elias Ymer75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Elias Ymer65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.921,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Elias Ymer71c16.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.935757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.