Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuhara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754a9839447623ccb6e22286b91861a8c709c61967757986dd16d3faaa2cec2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Yusuke Kusuhara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 74c | 5,071$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.08 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 34c | 3,235$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.89 | 513 | 42.5%218 W · 295 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 27c | 1,679$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.67 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Matthew Dellavedova | 45c | 1,332$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.6 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 28c | 944.66$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.94 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 11c | 673.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 11c | 503$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 36c | 380.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1,306 | 65.3%853 W · 453 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 311.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 10c | 277.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 23c | 253.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Matthew Dellavedova | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 542 | 41.5%225 W · 317 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 26c | 221.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 1,857 | 41%762 W · 1,095 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 569 | 53.8%306 W · 263 L | +20.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Matthew Dellavedova | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 24c | 172.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 650 | 65.7%427 W · 223 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 17c | 168.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 28c | 165.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matthew Dellavedova | 66c | 163.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 23c | 157.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 63c | 152.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Matthew Dellavedova | 61c | 148.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 145.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 22c | 117.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 21c | 105.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 19c | 98.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Matthew Dellavedova | 57c | 96.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 44c | 83.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 83.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 303 | 46.5%141 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 37c | 70.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Matthew Dellavedova | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Matthew Dellavedova | 46c | 65.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 45c | 54.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 26c | 50.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 27c | 49.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yusuke Kusuhara | 30c | 49.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 29c | 41.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 38c | 41.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yusuke Kusuhara | 26c | 39.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…792bbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 68c | 23.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Matthew Dellavedova | 61c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Matthew Dellavedova | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…210cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.