TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f24…210c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Naoki Nakagawabacked Naoya Honda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuharabacked Matthew Dellavedova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.84
ITF Tokyo: Makoto Ochi vs Kasidit Samrejbacked Makoto Ochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Luis Carlos Alvarezbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.8
Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchibacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Newport: Katie Volynets vs Ariana Arseneaultbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.88
Iasi: Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Contrexeville: Anna Blinkova vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.45
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.31
Liege: Sandro Kopp vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Braunschweig: Max Schoenhaus vs Laslo Djerebacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Lui Maxtedbacked Ivan Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Bastad: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.21
ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Tanguy Genierbacked Yanis Ghazouani Durand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$24.38
Liege: Emilien Demanet vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Braunschweig: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
ITF Buzau: Pia Lovric vs Alesia Breazbacked Alesia Breaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.09
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.26
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.69
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$2,921.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.92
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.96
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.87
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.55
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.01
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.74
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.66
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.