Champions League · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4ebf3495f38290430272f156df1b59f3fda17ec0abe218f4e9c3161e82dcb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,986$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.81 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,492$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.24 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 48c | 1,449$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.67 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…3657backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 1,176$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.14 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 1,023$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.55 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 815.01$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.66 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 547.74$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 41c | 515.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 47c | 438.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 52c | 380.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 48c | 374.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Yes | 53c | 325.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 316.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 51c | 280.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 266.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.88 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Yes | 53c | 259.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 48c | 242.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…f024backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 52c | 191.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 54c | 185.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 53c | 181.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 170.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 162.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 55c | 156.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 47c | 147.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 54c | 124.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 107.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 41c | 97.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked No | 57c | 93.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 92.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed No | 55c | 69.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 66.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 21c | 65.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 53.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 46c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…a158backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 48c | 43.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 30c | 40.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 51c | 38.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…8823backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 48c | 31.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 53c | 26.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…210cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Aarhus GF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Aarhus GF O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Aarhus GF O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.