TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c1,046$555 inWon+$491.651,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under47c988.23$464 inLost-$464.471844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under11c274.88$31 inLost-$31.19911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+320.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.8912556%70 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Under61c97.29$60 inLost-$59.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c85.75$24 inLost-$24.011,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over38c75.97$29 inWon+$46.773452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under48c56.68$27 inLost-$27.173253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under32c54.28$17 inLost-$17.3738142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.4111464.9%74 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over68c20$14 inWon+$6.44259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.