TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c2,620$524 inLost-$523.611,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c2,418$1,086 inLost-$1,086.1746741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under57c2,000$1,148 inWon+$852.126267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over6c1,994$116 inLost-$115.6672335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under55c1,300$720 inWon+$579.746048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under50c686.04$344 inWon+$341.731844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over2c500$10 inLost-$102630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+98.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c487.31$260 inWon+$227.431,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over26c300.63$78 inLost-$77.641650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Over27c181.82$50 inLost-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…74d3backed Over34c117.21$40 inLost-$40850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+108.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Under60c100$60 inWon+$401968.4%13 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over40c96.13$38 inLost-$38.446470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over61c80$49 inLost-$48.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over65c76.37$50 inLost-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under54c73$40 inWon+$33.449246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac6…f11dbacked Under74c59.69$44 inWon+$15.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under34c58.13$20 inWon+$38.133026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Over63c54.99$35 inLost-$34.71955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under43c52.34$23 inWon+$29.757241.7%30 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under38c50.83$20 inWon+$31.282642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7aa…2b84backed Over66c37.17$25 inLost-$24.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under34c31.98$11 inWon+$21.112766.7%18 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over56c28.77$16 inLost-$16.15530.9%17 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over44c28.21$12 inLost-$12.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under47c25.35$12 inWon+$13.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.