Champions League · resolved market
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fbfeebe782648933f2e765f8a9a13c9602ca7cc4e8ce3d580244fcd67c8b94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 17,593$9,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,546.12 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 16,005$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680.19 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 46c | 6,504$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 4,933$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.93 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 49c | 4,674$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 54c | 2,600$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 47c | 2,171$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 38c | 2,157$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.4 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 1,976$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.11 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 56c | 1,811$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.24 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 42c | 1,367$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.02 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 1,338$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…ef96backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 45c | 925$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 46c | 850$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 789.7$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.16 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Over | 47c | 759.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 735.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 54c | 655.06$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.21 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 654.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 595.21$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.19 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 534.75$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 41c | 528.37$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 524.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.42 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…9adfbacked Under | 56c | 521.43$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 54c | 480.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Over | 43c | 466.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 446.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 418.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 397.72$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 303.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Under | 53c | 290.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 45c | 289.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 55c | 240.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 233.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 45c | 232.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 37c | 203$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 199.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 54c | 193.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 179$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 47c | 164.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Over | 47c | 158.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…a52abacked Over | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 141.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 117.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 63c | 109.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 100.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 19c | 94.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Under | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 84.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Under | 54c | 84.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 54c | 79.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 57c | 72.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 55c | 69.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 67.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 62.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 80c | 56.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 64c | 55.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…d09cbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…f1b8backed Under | 55c | 53.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…fb03backed Under | 54c | 53.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…4ea6backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 55c | 44.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0024…9238backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…fba6backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…bec7backed Under | 55c | 40.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…1b3abacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 39.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…3798backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 56c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 33.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5this page
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Aarhus GF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Aarhus GF O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Aarhus GF O/U 2.5Under won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.