TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0024…9238

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$147.52
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.17
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$145.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.26
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.83
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$40.75
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.51
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$35.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.11
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$510.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.