NFL · resolved market
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d1b2fe0eb1b21b502e7a65e443de0b65bebf5f4ff646dbf779d0315851e943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca94…6bddbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 62c | 1,115$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.61 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 39c | 871.35$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.09 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 20c | 790.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0024…9238backed Yes | 33c | 759.16$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 23c | 538.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 24c | 525.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.61 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 28c | 373$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 30c | 365.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.65 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 69c | 333.91$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 30c | 333.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…d9bcbacked No | 65c | 308.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 15c | 279$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 13c | 276.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.33 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Yes | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 69c | 217.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 67c | 203.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 50c | 189.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bba…b707backed Yes | 28c | 181.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff8…a9c1backed Yes | 29c | 173.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…dff3backed Yes | 20c | 151.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 30c | 150.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 78c | 133.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…0f06backed No | 76c | 107$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…2508backed No | 74c | 101.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…6d9ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 45cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 26c | 99.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked No | 72c | 82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 23c | 81.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Yes | 37c | 80.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 73c | 79.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…ed57backed Yes | 32c | 78.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 33c | 77.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 77.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…8c1ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 70.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 68.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 39c | 56.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…1dfdbacked Yes | 38c | 52.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…1e37backed Yes | 29c | 50.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 50.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…c872backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 75c | 49.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…0d73backed Yes | 33c | 46.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed No | 80c | 45.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…8825backed Yes | 45c | 44.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…fdb0backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…9c2cbacked Yes | 26c | 39.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…fab7backed No | 64c | 39.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Yes | 31c | 38.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…db2abacked Yes | 39c | 31.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 31.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88b…be91backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…7d4cbacked No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf669…c10abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…0366backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 63c | 17.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 73c | 16.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?this page
- Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Caleb Downs be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Carson Beck be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Garrett Nussmeier be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Kayden McDonald be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
- Will Spencer Fano be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.